Comment by MacsHeadroom
2 years ago
51% odds of the ARC AGI Grand Prize being claimed by the end of next year, on Manifold Markets.
https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-pri...
2 years ago
51% odds of the ARC AGI Grand Prize being claimed by the end of next year, on Manifold Markets.
https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-pri...
This could also just be an indication (and I think this is the case) that many Manifold betters believe the ARC AGI Grand Prize to be not a great test of AGI and that it can be solved with something less capable than AGI.