Comment by schindlabua

2 years ago

Deceiving a single human is pretty easy, but decieving the human super-organism is going to be hard.

Also, I don't believe in a singularity event where AI improves itself to godlike power. What's more likely is that the intelligence will plateau--I mean no software I have ever written effortlessly scaled from n=10 to n=10.000, and also humans understand how to improve themselves but they can't go beyond a certain threshold.

For similar reasons I don't believe that AI will get into any interesting self-improvement cycles (occasional small boosts sure, but they won't go all the way from being as smart as a normal AI researcher to the limits of physics in an afternoon).

That said, any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic, and the stuff we do routinely — including this conversation — would have been "godlike" to someone living in 1724.

Humans understand how to improve themselves, but our bandwidth to ourselves and the outside world is pathetic. AIs are untethered by sensory organs and language.