Comment by semi-extrinsic
2 years ago
I don't think anyone is actually trying to build AGI. They are trying to make a lot of money from driving the hype train. Is there any concrete evidence of the opposite?
> forget about the y-intercept, focus on the fact that the slope never goes negative
Sounds like a statement from someone who's never encountered logarithmic growth. It's like talking about where we are on the Kardashev scale.
If it worked like you wanted, we would all have flying cars by now.
Dude, my reference is to ever continuing improvement. As a society we don’t tent to forget what we had last year, which is why the curve does not go negative. At time T+1 the level of technology will be equal or better than at time T. That is all you need to know to realise that any fixed limits will be bypassed, because limits are horizontal lines compared to technical progress, which is a line with a positive slope.
I don’t want this to be true. I have a 6 year old. I want A.I. to help us build a world that is good for her and society. But stupidly stumbling forward as if nothing can go wrong is exactly how we fuck this up, if it’s even possible not to.