Comment by SoftTalker
1 year ago
> For example the probability of getting [1,2,3,4,5,6] as the winning numbers in the lottery is the same as any random set of numbers.
Yes, but the comparison is not to "any random set of numbers" it's "all other random sets of numbers"
The candidate got 52.200000% of the vote instead of any other percentage, not another specific percentage.
> The candidate got 52.200000% of the vote instead of any other percentage, not another specific percentage
No, he got 51.1999971%. It’s right there in the second table of the article
Some other comment in this discussion claims that if you nudged the total count integer +-1 you'll never hit 52.20000000% exactly hinting at the possibility that they choose 52.2% exactly, then computed the total counts which would be a non-integer and then just rounded that.
Once re-computing the percentage from that number you end up with the slightly less round-looking 51.1999971%.