Comment by jvanderbot

1 year ago

This is a good example, but actually this is exactly what GP was referring to. It is a coincidence that the thing you're observing is periodic with earth's rotation. Observing a similar thing from a satellite (allegorically the same as "changing bases") would remove the interesting periodicity.

The earths rotation coincides with the phenomenon, so it's likely a coincidence.

In the example case, the earth's rotation is producing the apparent observation: it's the cause, not a separate phenomenon that happens to coincide, or that might be indicative of a deeper relationship. For something to be a coincidence, it must be otherwise unconnected causally, which is not the case if the reason you found a ~24 hour period is that you forgot to account for the earth's rotation.

  • I respectfully disagree (without attempting to say you're wrong!) about the definition of coincidence and the requirement of being non causally related. If I'm riding on a bus and the light poles going past line up with my music, that's a coincidence even though they are cause soley by the bus motion BPM matching an essentially random choice of song BPM.

    • What you're describing is a coincidence.

      What I'm describing is an artifact in your data that is caused by the motion of the earth.

      To give a more concrete example, suppose you measuring the brightness of a trans-neptunian object, and observe that the brightness changes slightly with a period of about 1 year. You might think it has a non-uniform albedo, and a rotational period of one year, when in reality, it is just brighter when the earth is closer to it.