Comment by csomar

Ai, in its current form, is very far from replacing humans. It's another tool and hasn't been even that good recently and not a cheap one either. I don't doubt that Ai will replace humans at some points in the future; I am just saying that it's very far from being the next 2-3 years.

The people invested in this AI hype have bought their own bullshit. They don't exactly feel aligned with developers, so their idea is to throw hundreds of billions at compute and hope it solves all their technical problems. This is not going to work and could potentially blow up in their face pretty badly.

If you are from the US, there are two existential threats to your industry/paycheck:

1. Offshoring. This time it might be real because the global south has improved considerably when it comes to language (English) and education. The people there are relatively skilled and might be able to execute. A few jurisdictions/countries are actually competent.

2. Big Tech blowing up in the US. Due to speculation, over-investment in AI, or mismanagement (ie: hiring lots of people and then firing a lot of people).

This happened before with cars, happened again with cars/evs (china) and I don't see why it can't happen again this time with tech.