Comment by janalsncm

5 months ago

Do people really expect anything different? There is a ton of cross-pollination in Silicon Valley. Keeping these innovations completely under wraps would be akin to a massive conspiracy. A peacetime Manhattan Project where everyone has a smartphone, a Twitter presence, and sleeps in their own bed.

Frankly I am even skeptical of US-China separation at the moment. If Chinese scientists at e.g. Huawei somehow came up with the secret sauce to AGI tomorrow, no research group is so far behind that they couldn’t catch up pretty quickly. We saw this with ChatGPT/Claude/Gemini before, none of which are light years ahead of another. Of course this could change in the future.

This is actually among the best case scenarios for research. It means that a preemptive strike on data centers is still off the table for now. (Sorry Eleazar)