Comment by adpirz

- Some early studies have shown modest gains (can try and link later)

- It’s still very early. LLMs have only been publicly available for 2 years, copilots a little less than that.

- It’s mostly anchored on cold starts ie I’m creating something from scratch. Leveraging LLMs in existing and mature codebases is definitely going to pick up.

- The majority of devs aren’t really using these tools or using them to their full ability. It takes a lot of fiddling to understand the limits and strengths, but when you do, you basically stop writing code and write more prose.

I will be surprised if in ten years even a quarter of your keyboard inputs will be towards code directly vs directing your friendly coding robot.