Comment by anonymousDan

14 days ago

One important question that I'm unclear on is how long it takes to fix one of these cables. If it takes months then that is quite a wide window in which an attacker could incrementally take down cables.

In this particular case, it seems like the attackers were trying for plausible deniability (making it look like an accident with an anchor). A comprehensive series of "accidents" wouldn't fit that goal.

(And if they decide they don't care about plausible deniability, they could use sub-deployed timed mines to take out every cable at once.)

  • Even if these "accidents" are a state sponsored (or at least condoned) action, it seems certain states have realized they can happen over and over again without consequences[0].

    The frustrating part of this kind of petty tactic is that bullies can do just enough to annoy and inconvenience their targets, while never quite doing enough to make it worth expending the political capital to hold them to account. From the bully's perspective there's no downside. And if legitimate accidents or rogue actions get portrayed as deliberate then all the better - that just reinforces the bully's reputation as an actor to be feared while further eroding trust in the international institutions that may one day challenge it.

    [0] https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/news/5677668

    • Wouldn’t the ship insurance company be responsible for the costs?

      At some point insurers are going to increase their costs to these Chinese companies to the point that sabotage does not become viable anymore.

They could even blow up all cables at once. Maybe the explosives have already been placed.

  • With timers ? because undersea communication is not as solved problem AFAIK

    • The communication does not have to be fast, so they could use extremely low frequency signals, which apparently can travel over hundreds to thousands of miles in seawater. On top of that, they could build a mesh network.

Generally it can be fixed in days. They raise it from the sea floor and splice in a new cable section.