Comment by m348e912

4 days ago

How does this make any financial sense?

The machines and processes needed to package the individual integrated circuits are fantastically expensive but the margins are so low in that step that it's only profitable at massive scales.

So you put the fantastically expensive machines near where most of the customers are and most of the customers are in Asia.

Works the same way with fiber optic cables. Making the long skinny bits is hard and high-margin. Actually turning them into cables is easy and low-margin.

So Corning makes huge spools of fiber optic cable in Arizona, North Carolina, and New York (I think) and ships it off to Taiwan and China where it is made into the cables that you plug into stuff.

Marine shipping is just about the most fuel efficient way of moving things between any two places, by a lot. A 100,000 dwt ship can get 1050 miles per gallon per ton of cargo. It takes about a teaspoon full of fuel to move an iPhone sized device across the pacific when I ran the numbers last.

This is how most modern supply chains look like.

Plus, chips are small in size and cost a lot so you can fit a lot in a container. Per unit shipping costs probably come out to be pretty low. Especially when compared to the political costs and risks associated with not onshoring.

  • > you can fit a lot in a container

    Guys these are microchips on wafers. You can put a million dollars worth in your jacket pocket. They aren't being shipped in containers.

These are literally microchips. Tens of thousands of dollars of value in each gram.

Shipping cost is fundamentally irrelevant, you can put $100MM worth on a direct flight and have room left over for your family and friends.

  • Your overall point is probably right, but "tens of thousands of dollars of value in each gram" seems like an exaggeration. How much does one CPU weigh?

    • Depends on the chip. A typical consumer processor is 100-200 mm². Wafers are about 1mm thick (actually a bit less, but close enough) and silicon has a density of 2300kg/m³. So it's 2.3mg/mm² of wafer area. The chip is then 0.23-0.46g. if it's high end and worth $1000, then the wafers are $2-4000 per gram. Probably the low end of that since the fancier chips are usually the physically bigger ones.

      However, low-end processors will be worth radically less ($100 CPUs aren't 10x smaller) and things like top-end FPGAs will be worth substantially more. An Agilex 7 can be $40,000 and if it's got less then 4 grams (around 1700mm², or 41mm*41mm), the wafer is worth over $10k/gram. The entire chip is 56x56, and from the package drawing, the die appears to be around 30x30, so it exceeds the threshold.

      This is assuming all the value of the retail price is the main wafer, which is also not true.

      Thousands per gram, certainly seems possible, though I doubt it's even that on average across all chips, and considering that there is non-wafer content in the price. Tens of thousands is probably pushing it. However, it's certainly likely to be rather more than gold in terms of specific value ($100/g, ish). Harder to fence, though.

    • Order of magnitude it's within range. A single wafer for something higher end is worth tens of thousands of dollars. So whatever that weighs. It's not much.

      3 replies →

I'm suprised they can't ship (flat) packaging that could be used in Arizona with a simple assembly line.

If they had that packaging design then for this to make financial sense the two way shipping (and loading, unloading, custom clearance etc) would have to be less than shipping the packaging, the setup cost per unit cost of putting the chip in a box