Comment by BurningFrog
3 months ago
> What has really changed that will make a difference in 2-3 years from now?
The whole Iranian anti Israel coalition has been badly beaten!
Hezbollah barely exists anymore. The Assad regime is toppled. Iran itself has learned that Israel can attack them at will. The Houthis are still active, but too far away to do real damage.
Hamas itself still exists, but in a deeply degraded form. Their leaders are dead. Their armed forces have taken huge losses. Their amazing tunnel network is destroyed.
Israel will never again be invaded by surprise.
Hamas will probably start shooting rockets into Israel again, and kill the occasional civilian, but Israel is used to that and can deal with it.
Is there any way to bet against this rationale? As in, putting money on it?
I can't do anything about the US having an obscenely distorted view of terrorism but it'd be nice if I could at least turn a profit off it.
The Houthis are armed with Iranian-made ballistic missiles, and do cause real damage.
https://www.timesofisrael.com/lucky-there-were-no-children-s...
Never again - I wouldn't hold my breath. Left alone, Gazans will dig new tunnels, and everything will repeat.
Gazans will probably attack again, but Israel will not be caught by surprise for at least a generation.