Comment by ARandomerDude

By 2023 all of the 2020 election claims had been thoroughly investigated by numerous Republican officials and committees and they found no actual evidence. Anyone who still believed at that point in the claims the election was stolen is at best willfully ignorant.

The analysis here is using publicly available data and they are pointing out statistical properties of that data that they say are highly indicative of manipulation. They are giving enough information for outside statisticians and others to reproduce their work.

This is not at all comparable to most of the claims after the 2020 election. The closest comparable claims in 2020 were some of the claims based on some vote distributions in some districts not obeying Benford's law. Those didn't hold up because given the demographics of those districts Benford's law would not be expected to hold.

(I wrote a web-based simple simulation using data from one of the states that the people basing claims on Benford's law were using in order to illustrate how much the distribution could differ from a Benford distribution. Anyone curious can find it here [1]. There's a link on that page to run it).

[1] https://github.com/tzs/georgia-benford-simulation

What's the political alignment of this group? All we have is a paid press release from a group founded in 2024, with an executive board consisting of "Jive, Lilli, and Nathan."

What they are showing is that not in-person ballots favored Harris--which is no surprise as on average Democrats are more concerned with Covid than Republicans as evidenced by the latter having twice the demographic-adjusted death rate from it (and probably actually higher because it is a diagnosis not liked in many Republican areas and it's easy enough to "overlook" the sudden death was actually from a clot from Covid infection.)

But this time around it's not going to face honest scrutiny in the courts so they won't have to admit they have nothing.