Comment by drpossum

1 year ago

Say you reduced their revenue to only that application. Would it be sustainable? Would it be worth the billions upon billions of dollars that have been shoveled at it? Would it add more than the billions upon billions of dollars in the end?

By your logic I could claim a quantum computer with qubits on the scale of the mass of the sun is a killer app for doing RSA encryption breaking. And I would be making an equally useless statement.

This is moving the goalpost on what "killer app" means. Code assistants are a compelling use of the tech that has quickly shown real-world value, which is the point I'm trying to make here.

Whether the companies that are leading the market today will end up being the ones who capture that value is anyone's bet.

  • I fail to see how a technology that is to expensive to maintain can have a killer app.

    • It’s only going to get cheaper over time. It’s already cheap enough that if these services disappeared overnight I’d switch to an open source alternative with a local model. The industry needed VC backing to pay the fixed cost of the research, but the cost of running inference is not insane compared to the volume it provides.

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