Comment by brookst

5 months ago

I mean it’s been a couple of years!

It may or may not happen but “scam” means intentional deceit. I don’t think anyone actually knows where LLMs are going with enough certainty to use that pejorative.

Is it intentional deceit to tell everyone it's leading to something when, as you correctly point out, nobody actually knows if it will?

>“scam” means intentional deceit.

Yes. I'm pretty sure any engineer working on this knows it's not "a few years away". But it doesn't stop product teams from taking adcvantadge of the hype cycle. Hence, "use deception to deprive (someone) of money or possessions.".

  • I'm equally sure there are true believers who've drunk the Kool-aid and really believe AGI is right around the corner, just need to fix a few bugs and wait just a few more generations of Moore's law. What difference does the beliefs of a nameless engineer at an AI company make?

    • >What difference does the beliefs of a nameless engineer at an AI company make?

      Hopefully a manager and proper task scheduling. If I made these promises every sprint and kept saying "yea the task is only a week away from completion!" I'd be fired unless I fell down the rabbit hole to Alice in Wonderland. I'm using good faith to assume a lot of those AI engineers are smarter and better schedulers than I am.

      But that's what managers and proper scoping and perspective is for. Maybe they're okay with that, but I'd wager any profit motivated company would not keep exploring unless the gains are enormous.

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