Comment by theGnuMe

1 year ago

One other existential question is Simpson's paradox, which I believe is exploited by politicians to support different policies from the same underlying data. I see this as a problem for government especially if we have liberal or conservative trained LLMs. We expect the computer to give us the correct answer, but when the underlying model is trained one way by RLHF or by systemic/weighted bias in its source documents -- Imagine training a libertarian AI on Cato papers -- you have could have highly confident pseudo-intellectual junk. Economists already deal with this problem daily since their field was heavily politicized. Law as well is another one.

I've never thought of Simpson's Paradox as a political problem before, thanks for sharing this!

Arguably this applies just as well to Bayesian vs Frequentist statisticians or Molecular vs Biochemical Biologists.