Comment by refurb
17 days ago
The tariff’s aren’t entirely based on the trade deficit. Vietnam artificially keeps its currency undervalued to boost exports.
Trade with other nations?
These are exports to the US, which is 25% of the world’s GDP.
Who is going to replace that demand?
You think Vietnam, where 30% of GDP are US exports, is going to be hurt less than the US where Vietnam makes up 3.9% of imports?
Does every country in the world maliciously connive to keep their currency low vs the dollar? Currency valuations are not tariffs and it is absurd to compare them to a tariff.
These tariffs are a huge mistake according to almost every mainstream economist, I hope instead of parroting the party line you’ll be able to admit their failure in a few years.
Vietnam does manipulate its currency. It’s not something that hasn’t been widely discussed for the past decade or more.
And if you artificially keep your exchange rate 10% higher, that’s an effective 10% tariff on US imports.
I have no idea if the tariffs will work but I don’t fault a country for saying “we’re matching the tariffs you apply to our exports”
> Vietnam does manipulate its currency.
So does every country in the world, this is neither surprising nor reason to slap tariffs on imports (which will hurt US consumers).
> I have no idea if the tariffs will work
We have lots of examples from history of tariffs not working, so there is that. They lead to trade wars, and then sometimes to real wars, never to prosperity.
The unparalleled prosperity the US enjoyed in the last few decades before 2008 was driven by open global trade and being the currency of last resort and the centre of world markets. I think there is a lot of complacency in the US about that position, and we're seeing the beginning of the end.
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