Comment by csours 10 months ago People over-estimate the short term and under-estimate the long term. 8 comments csours Reply AstroBen 10 months ago Compound growth starting from 0 is... always 0. Current LLMs have 0 general reasoning abilityWe haven't even taken the first step towards AGI jay_kyburz 10 months ago WTF, my calculator is high school was already a step towards AGI. csours 10 months ago 0 and 0.0001 may be difficult to distinguish. AstroBen 10 months ago You need to show evidence of that 0.0001 first otherwise you're going off blind faith 2 replies → barrell 10 months ago People overestimate outcomes and underestimate timeframes
AstroBen 10 months ago Compound growth starting from 0 is... always 0. Current LLMs have 0 general reasoning abilityWe haven't even taken the first step towards AGI jay_kyburz 10 months ago WTF, my calculator is high school was already a step towards AGI. csours 10 months ago 0 and 0.0001 may be difficult to distinguish. AstroBen 10 months ago You need to show evidence of that 0.0001 first otherwise you're going off blind faith 2 replies →
csours 10 months ago 0 and 0.0001 may be difficult to distinguish. AstroBen 10 months ago You need to show evidence of that 0.0001 first otherwise you're going off blind faith 2 replies →
AstroBen 10 months ago You need to show evidence of that 0.0001 first otherwise you're going off blind faith 2 replies →
Compound growth starting from 0 is... always 0. Current LLMs have 0 general reasoning ability
We haven't even taken the first step towards AGI
WTF, my calculator is high school was already a step towards AGI.
0 and 0.0001 may be difficult to distinguish.
You need to show evidence of that 0.0001 first otherwise you're going off blind faith
2 replies →
People overestimate outcomes and underestimate timeframes