Comment by BosunoB

You are absolutely right that AGI will probably barely resemble LLMs, but this is kind of beside the point. An LLM just has to get good enough to automate sufficiently complicated coding tasks, like those of coding new AI experiments. From there, researchers can spin off new experiments rapidly and make further improvements. An AGI will likely have vastly different architecture from an LLM, but we will only discover that through likely hundreds of thousands of experiments with incremental improvements.

This is the ai-2027.com argument. LLMs only really have to get good enough at coding (and then researching), and it's singularity time.