Comment by Aperocky
6 months ago
Same with hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, inventing a detour because it sounds cool and ultimately don't work out because Occam's Razor.
6 months ago
Same with hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, inventing a detour because it sounds cool and ultimately don't work out because Occam's Razor.
Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles are a little different because there are safety, economic, and physical constraints that mean they will always be worse than battery electric or gas cars. I and many others correctly predicted this.[1] For hydrogen to succeed, batteries would have to get more expensive and/or have worse energy density than they did in 2015.
Satellite data centers seem unlikely to me, but at least their feasibility doesn't require that existing stuff get more expensive/worse. Starcloud is a bet that three things will happen in the next decade:
- SpaceX Starship will succeed and drastically reduce launch costs.
- Batteries will not get 10x cheaper.
- There will be valuable applications for high latency, high performance compute (eg: AI training).
If any one of these things does not happen, Starcloud is doomed (or will have to pivot). If they all happen, Starcloud has a chance at success.
1. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25875749
It does not make sense, you can do the same thing on Earth without launching it into space.
The entire launch thing is completely not necessary and is entirely detrimental to the product.