Comment by jvanderbot
7 days ago
I can strain the analogy just enough to get something useful from it.
If we laboriously create software shops in the classical way, and suddenly a new shop appears that is buggy, noisy, etc but eventually outperforms all other shops, then the progenitors of those new shops are going to succeed while the progenitors of these old shops are not going to make it.
It's a strain. The problem is AI is a new tech that replaces an entire process, not a product. Only when the process is the product (eg the process of moving people) does the analogy even come close to working.
I'd like to see analysis of what happened to the employees, blacksmiths, machinists, etc. Surely there are transferrable skills and many went on to work on automobiles?
This SE q implies there was some transition rather than chaos.
https://history.stackexchange.com/questions/46866/did-any-ca...
Stretching just a bit further, there might be a grain of truth to the "craftsman to assembly line worker" when AI becomes a much more mechanical way to produce, vs employing opinionated experts.
I agree as I point out in other comments here - you said it with more detail.
AGI + robot is way beyond a mere change in product conception or implementation. It's beyond craftsmen v. modern forms of manufacturing we sometimes read about with guns.
It is a strain indeed to get from cars v.buggies to AGI. I dare say that without AGI as part and parcel to AI the internalization of AI must be necessarily quite different.