Comment by steveklabnik
4 days ago
There’s a lot of confounding factors here. For example, you could point to any of these things in the last ~8 months as being significant changes:
* the release of agentic workflow tools
* the release of MCPs
* the release of new models, Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 in particular
* subagents
* asynchronous agents
All or any of these could have made for a big or small impact. For example, I’m big on agentic tools, skeptical of MCPs, and don’t think we yet understand subagents. That’s different from those who, for example, think MCPs are the future.
> At some point, you roll your eyes and assume it is just snake oil sales
No, you have to realize you’re talking to a population of people, and not necessarily the same person. Opinions are going to vary, they’re not literally the same person each time.
There are surely snake oil salesman, but you can’t buy anything from me.
> you have to realize you’re talking to a population of people, and not necessarily the same person. Opinions are going to vary, they’re not literally the same person each time.
I pointed this out in my post for a reason. I get it. But even given a different person is saying the same thing every time a new release comes out - the effect on my prior is the same.