Comment by wagwang

1 day ago

All of this game of thrones is going to create an amazing documentary if AI capabilities taper off and valuations vaporize.

Are the AI capabilities tapering-off, or commoditized? Building the next Windsurf (iteration 0) doesn't feel it's quite niche anymore.

  • I think the current valuations imply at least 2 magnitudes of improvement over existing functionality.

If by Documentary, you mean a new Silicon Valley sitcom, yes , all the ingredients are there: The AGI believers, the doomers, the "cure all diseases" people, the board drama, the money grabbers, the VC dance , the poaching, the lawsuits for copyrights ... there s a whole new universe of caricatures

  • Even a very risky attempt at "cure all diseases“ is worth all this economic upheaval, though.

    And AI applied to biomedicine arguably already delivered some acceleration.

Apparently somebody missed crypto mania between 2019-2022

  • AI has nothing in common with crypto other than it being hyped a lot. The better comparison is the dot-com bubble.

    • Well it's also being slammed into everything everywhere, its just more useful so it has even more places where it's being put