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Comment by lelanthran

6 days ago

Some skepticism about the viability of the project here: https://www.wheresyoured.at/power-cut/#butwhat-about-stargat...

I thought it was pretty universally known that the project doesn't have and won't have sufficient funding?

And also that the vast majority of things Sam says are a lie?

I mean, when multiple countries are signing on, I think it’s gonna be fine

  • > I mean, when multiple countries are signing on, I think it’s gonna be fine

    So? They're not paying for it, are they?

    From what I can tell in the link I posted (and this could be wrong, so corrections welcome):

    1. The project needs ~$100b (although a fraction of that will be sufficient to get the first deployment online)

    2. OpenAI and Softbank have each committed ~$18b

    3. OpenAI is trying to raise ~$40b to stay in business

    4. The majority of that ~$40b is coming from Softbank

    5. Softbank has ~$30b cash on hand and is syndicating at least ~$10b in investment for the OpenAI raise.

    6. OpenAI has projected a burn rate of ~$40b/year by 2028.

    To me it looks like Software is committing $30b to OpenAI + $18b to Stargate. OpenAI, if the raise is successful, will receive $40b over a period of time of which $22b will be available to OpenAI if they make good on their commitment of $18b for Stargate.

    Which means that OpenAI needs, in the next few years, $40b/year to run, but will only have $22b after they meet the Stargate commitment in the coming year, leaving them short of operational cash and requiring a further round of investments.