Comment by jillesvangurp

4 days ago

Investors put 10 billion in in a previous round; that's a lot. Somehow, more is needed now. 100M is just 1% of that. So it's not going to massively move the needle. But it does raise the question where all that cash is going.

My guess is that they might be about to embark on a shopping spree and acquire some more VC backed companies. They've actually bought quite a few companies already in the past few years. And they would need cash to buy more. The company itself seems healthy and generating revenue. So, it shouldn't strictly need a lot of extra capital. Acquisitions would be the exception. You can either do that via share swaps or cash. And of course cash would mostly go to the VCs backing the acquired companies. Which is an interesting way to liquidate investments. I would not be surprised to learn that there's a large overlap with the groups of VCs of those companies and those backing databricks. 100M$ on top of 10B sounds like somebody wants in on that action.

As a financial construction it's a bit shady of course. VCs are using money from big institutional investors to artificially inflate one of their companies so that it can create exits for some of their other investments via acquisitions financed with more investment. It creates a steady stream of "successes". But it sounds a bit like a pyramid game. At some point the big company will have to deliver some value. I assume the hope is some gigantic IPO here to offload the whole construction to the stock market.

At least in some sort, this new venture market dynamics in those private markets is looking more similar with the Art market. I remember that J used to follow several private auctions where most of the auctioneers had some sort of ring where in time to time someone needed some liquidity.

Even in some situations where some artworks could have way less value at the public auction houses (Christie’s, Phillips, Sotheby's) their preference was to market between in this circuit of private auctions.

  The company itself seems healthy and generating revenue

More interested in profit before I would call a company healthy.

  • Right I'm curious how long many of these deca/centa unicorn startups can make payroll & pay their cloud bills if all of this AI FOMO unlimited exit liquidity VC investment takes even a pause.