Comment by awesome_dude
5 months ago
> IIRC Sam Altman has explicitly said that their plan is to develop AGI and then ask it how to get rich.
There are still lots of currently known problems that could be solved with the help of AI that could make a lot of money - what is the weather going to be when I want to fly to <destination> in n weeks/months time, currently we can only say "the destination will be in <season> which is typically <wet/dry/hot/cold/etc>"
What crops yield the best return next season? (This is a weather as well as a supply and demand problem)
How can we best identify pathways for people whose lifestyles/behaviours are in a context that is causing them and/or society harm (I'm a firm believer that there's no such thing as good/bad, and the real trick to life is figuring out what context is where a certain behaviour belongs, and identifying which context a person is in at any given point in time - we know that psycopathic behaviour is rewarded in business contexts, but punished in social contexts, for example)
The weather thing doesn’t seem… realistic. Have you heard of chaotic systems?
It sounds a lot like a farmer's almanac... Which are reasonably accurate (ignoring chaos) and practically free (passion work)
We always think things are unsolveable, and impossible to decipher, right up until we do, in fact, solve them and decipher them.
Anything is possible, well, except for getting the next season of Firefly
Edit: FTR I think that weather prediction is, indeed, solveable. We just don't have the computing power/algorithms that fully model and calculate the state.. yet
Then I don’t think you fully grasp the nature of weather. Sure, anything is possible, but some things are much more likely than others, and small changes in weather months away is very very far down on the list of things that are likely to be solvable.
I’d even hold out hope for another season firefly <3
20 replies →
"All stable processes we shall predict. All unstable processes we shall control."
Not something that can be solved just by throwing more AI computation at it though.
> Not something that can be solved just by throwing more AI computation at it though.
I said "With the help of AI" no "Solved by AI"
The model is complex, and currently takes time on super computers to crunch through the numbers to give us an approximation, but that doesn't mean that it's never going to be fully modelled, or that we won't find a better way of approximating things where the long range forecasts are more accurate.
Currently the 24 hour forecast is highly reliable Three days reliable Five days is getting there ( it's still subject to change)
These things can be solved by throwing lots more compute at them (and the models improved)
6 replies →
If anyone needs an example of an extremely limited imagination, matched with a strong need to attack anyone that dares to think what could be... then look no further than this guy and this thread.