Comment by teleforce
1 day ago
The standard risk model based on SCORE-2 and PREVENT like parameters are very poor as reported in the recently published paper on the their accuracy performance by the Swedish team [1].
>All of these risk factors can be measured with a blood test + doctor review
As all CVD risk stratification with cardiologist review, the most important accuracy is sensivity (avoiding false negative that will escape review) of SCORE-2 and PREVENT, 48% and 26%, respectively [1].
The paper alternative proposal increased the sensitivity to 58% by performing clustering instead of conventional regression models as practiced in the standard SCORE-2 (Europe) and PREVENT (US).
These type of models including the latest proposal performed very poorly as indicated by their otherwise excellent and intuitive display of graphical abstract results [1].
[1] Risk stratification for cardiovascular disease: a comparative analysis of cluster analysis and traditional prediction models:
https://academic.oup.com/eurjpc/advance-article/doi/10.1093/...
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