Comment by AznHisoka

4 months ago

Yes, if AI proves to be a 10x productivity booster, it probably means most people will be unemployed

Electricity was a 10x productivity boost, just over a way longer timespan. We‘re just speedrunning this.

Also, what happens to those employed when they each have 10 people trying to take their job. It’s a downward spiral for employment as we know it.

The plow was a 10x productivity booster. Guess what happened next?

  • The main difference is that a plow cannot replace a human because a plow is a machine operated by a human.

    The premise of AI is that it replaces humans.

    Even if AI creates, say, 200 million new jobs - you would just fill those jobs with AI. Why would you fill them with humans? That's stupid.

    • >The main difference is that a plow cannot replace a human because a plow is a machine operated by a human.

      A single human with a plow replaced 20 humans with shovels.

      Do you believe the ratio of AI replacement will actually be higher? I doubt it.

      3 replies →

    • While there will be spots where a human will be replaced by AI there won't be nearly as much as people think over the next decade.

Not necessarily. If $x is enough to get you 10x more Software engineering effort, people may be willing to increase their spending on software engineering, rather than decrease it