Comment by umvi
13 hours ago
Are there any bookies for that? Seems like an easy way to get rich betting against that happening. If not, then I would instead wager the "market sentiment" is that Trump isn't actually serious about a 2028 bid or that he won't actually be able to overcome 22A.
Looks like there's about 1M in volume on Polymarket, so you could definitely dump a good bit of money there if you feel strongly:
https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-20...
That's winner - any for "will he be on at least one state ballot?"
Trump doesn't have a very good ROI though... if I put $10k into a Trump "no" I'd only make $373 (or ~3.7%) ROI which is worse than CDs currently