Comment by some_guy_nobel

> You first!

In any honest conversation, the person presenting the numbers will provide this, but I'll bite:

How many years are cumulative negative in this table?

https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/ces0000000001?output_view=ne...

(I guess the correct way to model this would be as the difference of Poissons between hires and separations, but a student-t should do just fine since we don't have separations)