Comment by singron

The paper is based on an estimate of productivity increases per industry due to AI. The highest increases are around 0.2% and most industries are <0.1%. In that world, AI isn't transformative and doesn't accelerate.

In some ways I think this is probably realistic, but it's not compatible with outcomes touted by boosters. They estimate 28 PJ/year, which is only about 0.9 GW. Stargate was planned to build 10 GW of capacity alone, so they can't both be true