Comment by DoctorOetker
2 months ago
In which files can we find the code relating to hypothesis testing (p-value calculation, null hypothesis specification, formal negation of the null hypothesis, ..)?
2 months ago
In which files can we find the code relating to hypothesis testing (p-value calculation, null hypothesis specification, formal negation of the null hypothesis, ..)?
Good question. TL;DR is you won't find those here.
ACH is a different sort of hypotheses testing tool. This tool does not do formal "Statistical Hypothesis Testing" using the formal statistical methods that would be used for the rigorous testing required in the scientific world. There is a null hypothesis found in ACH, but that's about the only real crossover. So, you won't be able to find any p-values, t-tests, chi squares or any statistical significance at all in this.
My Analysis of Competing Hypotheses tool uses the methodology created by Richard Heur - it's an intelligence analysis methodology designed to be used by analysts who need a way to avoid their own biases as much as possible when investigating a question. There's no p-value calcs, no actual statistical significance, or any real math at all (the only math involves adding up rows of values from -2 to 2 basically, and then putting them in order).
The whole reason hypothesis testing is used in science, is to prevent the exact same biases deluding ourselves: is this a spontaneous statistical cluster of events, or is it a statistically significant deviation from our understanding of the world?
Is what you posted really how the CIA works?? I think lots of taxpayers would want their money back...