Comment by throw-the-towel

2 days ago

As bad as American domination is, wnat's coming after is might easily be worse.

Why?

China is the alternative. How many countries has China waged war against, toppled democratic governments, established puppet março-states and invaded since 1949?

  • Korea 1950, Tibet 1951, Vietnam 1979 (yes, China invaded Vietnam after USA withdrew).

    China also has had border skirmishes with Burma, India, USSR.

    • Yes, I'm aware.

      There are literally thousands of years of sino-korean wars, so its hard to pin that blame on a specific government. Tibet is a more straightforward case of imperial expansionism from China, although it is also a centuries-old one, dating from Qing dynasty (1700s). The border skirmishes with India stem from mutual dissatisfaction with old British imperial border lines, which both governments disagree with.

      Now compare that with the USA list. China's list is, to say the least, much more lightweight, straightforward and understandable. I'd go with that list any day, and most of the world would too.

  • It could be the case that they become the hegemon and don't ever conquer anyone besides Taiwan and it still sucks due to how they treat ~20% of the Earth's population (their own citizens).

    A liberal, democratic China becoming the hegemon is very possibly better than the status quo (especially under Trump and with the surge of far-right mainstreaming in the US), but China as it is now cannot be trusted to be a good steward of a hypothetical Pax Sinica, just as Trumpist America cannot be trusted.

Worse for US Americans probably - rest of the world? Not so clear cut

  • The greatest timeline for Europe in its history? Post WW2 to now.

    The greatest timeline for Latin America overall? Post WW2 to now.

    The greatest timeline for Oceania overall? Post WW2 to now.

    The greatest timeline for India? Post WW2 to now.

    The greatest timeline for the rest of Asia overall? Post WW2 to now.

    Coming up on 80 years. Here's a short list, please tell me which prior ~80 year period in history these nations had it better overall for their people.

    Britain, Ireland, Germany, France, Spain, Portugal, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, Romania, Poland, Switzerland, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden, Belgium, Norway, Finland, Iceland, Greece, Slovakia, Austria, Slovenia, Hungary, Croatia, Bulgaria. Russia, Turkey, Kazakhstan. Australia, New Zealand, Canada. China, Japan, Indonesia, India, Taiwan, South Korea, Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand. Mexico, Colombia, Brazil, Peru, Chile, Uruguay, Costa Rica, Panama. Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Bahrain.

    Just most of the world population in that little list.

    Even Russia - the people of Russia have far higher standards of living at the median today than they have at any other point in their history. It's not even remotely close.

    'But but but the world isn't perfect.' No kidding.

    • You have a gigantic confounder of general progress, much of it technological.

      Just recently I made a post here in some thread to point out that even wein backwards East Germany made huge gains - my grandfather, born early 20th century, lived much, much better even by the end of the GDR compared to when he was born in the Weimar Republic.

      Especially food became a non-issue in the modern world, productivity increases were gigantic. The Haber-Bosch process, very important at the start of that development, was not a US invention, nor contingent on anything US related.

      It would be hard to disentangle US influence, but one can assume even if the US had not become so dominant, much of those developments would still have taken place, lifting up much of the entire world.

    • Correlation is not causation. At the same time, the industrial and technological revolutions happened, which are the main drivers of the "greatest timeline".