Comment by TeodorDyakov

4 days ago

I think of it this way. If you dropped Einstein with a time machine two thousand year ago, people would think he is some crazy guy doing scribbles in the sand. No one would ever know how smart he is. The same is with people and advanced AGI like Gemini 3 Pro or Chatgpt 5.2 Pro. We are just dumber than them.

Why do you think the models are AGI?

I also like to think that Einstein would be smart enough to explain things from a common point of understanding if you did drop him 2000 years in the past (assuming he also possesses the scientific knowledge humanity accrued in that 2000 year gap). So, your analogy doesn't really make a lot of sense here. I also doubt he'd be able to prove his theories with the technology of the past but that's a different matter.

If we did have AGI models, they would be able to solve our hardest problems (assuming a generous definition of AGI) even if we didn't immediately understand exactly how they got there. We already have a lot of complex systems that most people don't fully understand but can certainly verify the quality of. The whole "too smart for people to understand that they're too smart" is just a tired trope.

You are certainly dumber than them if you think they are AGI. These models are smart and getting smarter, but they are not AGI.

You think they have “advanced AGI” and are worried about keeping up with the software industry? There would be be nothing to keep up with at that point.

To use an analogy, it would be like spending all your time before a battle making sure your knife is sharp when your opponent has a tank.