Comment by baq
1 day ago
Nothing stopping you from hand sculpting software like we did in the before times.
Mass production however won’t stop, it’s barely started literally a couple months ago and it’s the slowest and worst it’ll ever be.
1 day ago
Nothing stopping you from hand sculpting software like we did in the before times.
Mass production however won’t stop, it’s barely started literally a couple months ago and it’s the slowest and worst it’ll ever be.
I'm not viewing AI tooling as an extinction of the art of programming, only illuminating how telling an AI how to create programs isn't in the same universe as programming, where the technical skill to do such a thing is on par with punching in how long my microwave should nuke my popcorn.
This isn't my experience. It's more like discussing with another skilled developer on my team how we should code the solution, what APIs we should use, what techniques, what algorithms. Firing ideas back and forth until we settle on a reasonable plan of attack. That plan usually consists of a mix of high level ideas and chunks of example code.
I keep hearing "it's the slowest and worst it'll ever be" as though software ability and performance only ever increase and yet mass produced software is slower and enshittier than it was 10-15 years ago and we're all complaining about it. And you can't say "but it does so much more" because I never asked for 90% of the "more" and just want to turn most of it off.
I’m also not convinced that any of these models are going to stick around at the same level once the financial house of cards they’re built on comes tumbling down. I wonder what the true cost of running something like Claude opus is, it’s probably unjustifiably expensive. If that happens, I don’t think this stuff is going to completely disappear but at some point companies are going to have to decide which parts are valuable and jettison the rest.
It definitely feels like we're living in the golden time when all the LLMs are getting massively subsidized. You could just tab between all the free accounts all day right now and still get some amazing code results without paying a dime.
I can think of a few things that could happen to sink "it's the slowest and worst it'll ever be". Even ignoring things that could happen, I think in general we're hitting a ceiling with LLMs. All the annoyances and bugs and frankly incompetence with the current models are not going away soon, despite $tn of investments. At this point it is now just about propping up this bubble so the USA doesn't have another big recession.