Comment by jonnybgood
1 month ago
> This fallacy seems to be brought up very frequently, that there are still blacksmiths; people who ride horses; people who use typewriters; even people who use fountain pens, but they don't really exist in any practical or economical sense outside of 10 years ago Portland, OR.
Did you respond with a fallacy of your own? I can only assume you’re not in or don’t have familiarity with those worlds and that has lead you to conclude they don’t exist in any practical or economical sense. It’s not difficult to look up those industries and their economic impact. Particularly horses and fountain pens. Or are you going by your own idea of practical or economical?
No, horses and fountain pens do not exist in any real sense today vs. the economic impact they once had. They are niche hobbies that could disappear tomorrow and the economy wouldn't even notice. They used to be bedrocks where the world would stop turning without them overnight if they disappeared. The folks put out of work would be a rounding error on yearly layoffs if every horse and pen was zapped out of existence tonight.
They are incredibly niche side industries largely for the pleasure of wealthy folks. Horses still have a tiny niche industrial use.
Horses might have been an overly broad claim, but I basically meant that the others aren't really viable pursuits to bet a chunk of your working life on, in terms of how likely it is that their markets exist in a practical economic sense. The equivalent in the programming world now might be rare old bank mainframes. COBOL isn't a thing you go to school to learn and expect it to be around forever, but that's just one. Times do change, but if the core skill stops being bought, except in niche circumstances, then there's no reason to pursue it, just the novelty.