← Back to context

Comment by underdeserver

4 days ago

Prediction: this headline will be renamed "US invades Venezuela" very soon.

It's not an invasion, it is just a special military operation.

> Prediction: this headline will be renamed "US invades Venezuela" very soon

I'll say I'm doubtful. I think we'll bomb from afar and hope to pot Maduro.

There is a science fiction book "The inhabited island" ("Prisoners of power"?) by A. and B. Strugatsky. In one of episodes they try to describe the feeling of being in a very human-looking but also completely alien culture (a different planet with humanoid inhabitants). So they describe how a group of people works out a credentials/paperwork situation (they need to move a prisoner from one place to another) but literally, as these actions are seen by the prisoner who does not understand the meaning. "This one gave that one a yellow rectangle but that one refused to take it and said something in a raised voice."

I always remember that episode as I see headlines like that.

Prediction: it won't. HN is very touchy about things that make the president look bad, as well as about bold statements, as well as about politics (except when it's good for VC money, then it's apolitical).

I try to stay humble when predicting the future. But there is just no way there will be a literal military invasion. Trump would never risk a bunch of american dying on the ground, it would be terrible optics.

I think the strategy is more by creep. Desensitization. This will be just another inching forward

Or maybe not :(