Comment by seydor

3 days ago

If they cannot be resold to other speculators their price can go waaay down

The vast majority of home purchases aren't from speculators or institutional investors.

Institutional investors only own about 0.5% of homes. If they're forced to stop buying, nothing will really change in a noticeable way. At best, small landlords and investors will scoop attractive properties up for slightly less.

  • Is that 0.5% a uniform distribution across the United States or is it concentrated in a handful of hot markets? I suspect the latter and have to imagine some distortion must be occurring in those regions.

  • Maybe the best part of this legislation will be that people will realize it's not institutional investors that are driving up home prices. No, that's far too optimistic.

  • > Institutional investors only own about 0.5% of homes

    Where they buy those homes matters though. In areas with lots of jobs/growth (often the areas experiencing the most housing price pain), that number is likely much higher.

The only way that prices could go waaay down is if the supply of new homes increases or demand decreases (or some combination of both).

Which of those do you think is likely as a result of the proposed action, and why?