Comment by jonathanstrange

1 day ago

I think it's only a matter of time until this becomes reality. It's almost inevitable.

My prediction last year was already that in the distant future - more than 10 years into the future - operating systems will create software on the fly. It will be a basic function of computers. However, there might remain a need for stable, deterministic software, the two human-machine interaction models can live together. There will be a need for software that does exactly what one wants in a dumb way and there will be a need for software that does complex things on the fly in an overall less reliable ad hoc way.

We might cure cancer in 10 years. We could have Martian colonists in the next decade. Everyone might be commuting to work with a jet pack. Literally anything could happen, especially given a long enough time horizon.

  • You do realize that AI can already today write fairly complex software autonomously, don't you? It's not as if I haven't tested that. It works quite well for certain tasks and with certain programming languages.

    Anyone who knows history knows that people initially tend to underestimate the impact of technologies, yet few people learn something from that lesson.