Comment by azan_
5 hours ago
> The pattern that gets missed in these discussions: every "no-code will replace developers" wave actually creates more developer jobs, not fewer.
Doesn't mean it will happen this time (i.e. if AI truly becomes what was promised) and actually it's not likely it will!
I felt like the article had a good argument for why the AI hype will similarly be unsuccessful at erasing developers.
> AI changes how developers work rather than eliminating the need for their judgment. The complexity remains. Someone must understand the business problem, evaluate whether the generated code solves it correctly, consider security implications, ensure it integrates properly with existing systems, and maintain it as requirements evolve.
What is your rebuttal to this argument leading to the idea that developers do need to fear for their job security?
> evaluate whether the generated code solves it correctly, consider security implications, ensure it integrates properly with existing systems, and maintain it as requirements evolve
I think you are basing your reasoning on the current generation of models. But if future generation will be able to do everything you've listed above, what work will be there left for developers? I'm not saying that we will ever get such models, just that when they appear, they will actually displace developers and not create more jobs for them. The business problem will be specified by business people, and even if they get it wrong it won't matter because iteration will be quick and cheap.
> What is your rebuttal to this argument leading to the idea that developers do need to fear for their job security?
The entire argument is based on assumption that models won't get better and will never be able to do things you've listed! But once they become capable of these things - what work will be there for developers?
Yes, if we assume that AI can do the job of developers then tautologically it can do the job of developers.
And your entire argument is based around the possibility of it turning into a magic genie that can do anything
> if AI truly becomes what was promised
I mean they are promising AGI.
Of course in that case it will not happen this time. However, in that case software dev getting automated would concern me less than the risk of getting turned into some manner of office supply.
Imo as long as we do NOT have AGI, software-focused professional will stay a viable career path. Someone will have to design software systems on some level of abstraction.