Comment by sanderjd
1 month ago
There is tons of stuff to do. Lots of technologies out there that need to be invented and commercialized. Tons of inefficient processes in business, government, and academia to improve.
None of this means that it will be the kinds of professional specialized software development teams that we're used to doing any of this work, but I have some amount of optimism that this is actually going to be a golden age for "doing useful things with computers" work.
I still think it's more likely to be more of the same thing but with less people.
One man shops being the ideal, and I don't think there will be proportionately more of them
This doesn't mesh with anything that has happened in the development of computing, or technology in general.
I dispute technology in general. There are plenty of examples where industrialisation led to a drop in quality, a massive drop in price, and a displacement of workers.
It hasn't happened in software yet. I suppose this has to do with where software sits on the demand curve currently.
I'm imagining a few more shifts in productivity will make the demand vs price derivative shift in a meaningfully different way, but we can only speculate.
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