Comment by sanderjd
1 month ago
This doesn't mesh with anything that has happened in the development of computing, or technology in general.
1 month ago
This doesn't mesh with anything that has happened in the development of computing, or technology in general.
I dispute technology in general. There are plenty of examples where industrialisation led to a drop in quality, a massive drop in price, and a displacement of workers.
It hasn't happened in software yet. I suppose this has to do with where software sits on the demand curve currently.
I'm imagining a few more shifts in productivity will make the demand vs price derivative shift in a meaningfully different way, but we can only speculate.
I think you are misunderstanding the point I'm making. I agree that "writing code" is likely to be commoditized by AI tools, much like past industrialization disruptions. But I think there is going to be more things to do in the space of "doing useful things with computers", analogous to how industrialization creates new work further up the value chain.
Of course it often isn't the same people whose jobs are disrupted who end up doing that new work.