Comment by jebarker
20 days ago
I wonder how much of the activity on prediction markets these days is competing LLM scripts? I would guess the overlap in prediction market punters and AI boomers is high.
20 days ago
I wonder how much of the activity on prediction markets these days is competing LLM scripts? I would guess the overlap in prediction market punters and AI boomers is high.
It'd be a good way to lose money at the moment. Probably not too far off in the future it would make sense though
LLM-superforecaster parity projected to late 2026 (and LLMs now outperform non-expert public participants) according to https://forecastingresearch.substack.com/p/ai-llm-forecastin...
Would you like to bet on that? :)