Comment by n4r9
1 month ago
What is the benefit of estimating points rather than days? Feels like you're still ultimately estimating days in the end.
1 month ago
What is the benefit of estimating points rather than days? Feels like you're still ultimately estimating days in the end.
Because, for whatever psychological reason, estimating in time leads to a false sense of accuracy, people pointlessly argue over whether something will take 5 days vs. 6, and people tend not to be overly optimistic and forget to account for things like sickness, meetings, etc.
Estimating in points that are basically a Fibonacci sequence keep estimation precision limited and avoids implying false guarantees. Yes, in the end the chosen stories are based on summing to a number of points that is roughly equivalent to what the team has achieved per-sprint in the recent past, so in that sense it is ultimately estimating days in the end. But again, for whatever psychological reason, people seem to be more realistic about the variance in actual delivered points per sprint, as opposed to when you try to measure things in hours or days. The points imply more of an estimated goal than a deadline guarantee, which helps keep both team expectations and management expectations more reasonable.
tl;dr: Psychology.
Can't you do that by just limiting the precision? You can only vote 1, 2, 3, 5 or 8 days. Not sure what "points" are adding. As far as I can tell, it's an attempt to account for estimation difficulties by introducing a "velocity" concept. But I think it makes things more complex without actually solving the issue.
Let me repeat myself:
> and people tend not to be overly optimistic and forget to account for things like sickness, meetings, etc.
> But again, for whatever psychological reason, people seem to be more realistic about the variance in actual delivered points per sprint, as opposed to when you try to measure things in hours or days. The points imply more of an estimated goal than a deadline guarantee, which helps keep both team expectations and management expectations more reasonable.
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