Comment by lo_zamoyski
17 hours ago
> industry machinery could match the average artisan or even beat the average
Whether it could is distinct from whether it will. I'm sure you've noticed the decline in the quality of clothing. Markets a mercurial and subject to manipulation through hype (fast fashion is just a marketing scheme to generate revenue, but people bought into the lie).
With code, you have a complicating factor, namely, that LLMs are now consuming their own shit. As LLM use increases, the percentage of code that is generated vs. written by people will increase. That risks creating an echo chamber of sorts.
I don't agree with the limited point about fast fashion/enthittification, etc.
Quick check: Do you want to go back to pre-industrial era then - when according to you, you had better options for clothing?
Personally, I wouldn't want that - because I believe as a customer, I am better served now (cost/benefit wise) than then.
As to the point about recursive quality decline - I don't take it seriously, I believe in human ingenuity, and believe humans will overcome these obstacles and over time deliver higher quality results at bigger scale/lower costs/faster time cycles.
> Quick check: Do you want to go back to pre-industrial era then - when according to you, you had better options for clothing?
This does not follow. Fast fashion as described is historically recent. An an example, I have a cheap t-shift from the mid-90s that is in excellent condition after three decades of use. Now, I buy a t-shirt in the same price range, and it begins to fall apart in less than a year. This decline in the quality of clothing is well known and documented, and it is incredibly wasteful.
The point is that this development is the product of consumerist cultural presuppositions that construct a particular valuation that encourages such behavior, especially one that fetishizes novelty for its own sake. In the absence of such a valuation, industry would take a different direction and behave differently. Companies, of course, promote fast fashion, because it means higher sales.
Things are not guaranteed to become better. This is the fallacy of progress, the notion that the state of the world at t+1 must be better than it was at t. At the very least, it demands an account of what constitutes "better".
> I don't take it seriously, I believe in human ingenuity, and believe humans will overcome these obstacles
That's great, but that's not an argument, only a sentiment.
I also didn't say we'll experience necessarily a decline, only that LLMs are now trained on data produced by human beings. That means the substance and content is entirely derived from patterns produced by us, hence the appearance of intelligence in the results it produces. LLMs merely operate over statistical distributions in that data. If LLMs reduce the amount of content made by human beings, then training on the generated data is circular. "Ingenuity" cannot squeeze blood out of a stone. Something cannot come from nothing. I didn't say there can't be this something, but there does need to be a something from which an LLM or whatever can benefit.