Comment by Zigurd

10 hours ago

Starship has a large number of critical milestones coming: Can it land and quickly reuse the upper stage? If not, it can't make refueling flights without building a dozen or two starships. Can it carry the full specified payload? If not, it can't even try to refuel in orbit. If it can't refuel in orbit, it can't go beyond earth orbit. Etc.

Everything has to go right or it will be irrelevant before it works.

> Everything has to go right or it will be irrelevant before it works.

Starship is not all of SpaceX. Saying, maybe because one hates Musk, that SpaceX is going to become irrelevant is wishful thinking.

In 2025 SpaceX launched more rockets into space than the entire world ever sent in a year up to 2022, something crazy like that.

Then out of, what, 14 000 active satellites in space more than half have been launched by SpaceX.

SpaceX is, so far, the biggest space success story of the history of the human race (and GP is right in saying that SpaceX is now a national security matter for the US).

  • Model S was the most successful EV. If you think cybercab is the vehicle of the future, look at the timeline of the only robo taxi in commerce in the US.

    Everything has to go right with that, or cybercab will be irrelevant before it works. Same deal. Same bullshitter.

    • Model S was successful until Model 3/Y blew it out of the water. Waymo’s timeline is not relevant because they lose money on every car and every deployment. Tesla’s the only financially successful developer of self driving. They can scale it up much faster.In fact, instead of making $5k per car produced, cybercab will net them $50k per car per year.

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  • > In 2025 SpaceX launched more rockets into space than the entire world ever sent in a year up to 2022, something crazy like that.

    Not just that, the cost of each rocket launch is drastically cheaper than all of its competitors costs.