Comment by tosh

11 hours ago

It feels like the gap between open weight and closed weight models is closing though.

Mode like open local models are becoming "good enough".

I got stuff done with Sonnet 3.7 just fine, it did need a bunch of babysitting, but still it was a net positive to productivity. Now local models are at that level, closing up on the current SOTA.

When "anyone" can run an Opus 4.5 level model at home, we're going to be getting diminishing returns from closed online-only models.

  • See, the market is investing like _that will never happen_.

    • I'm just riding the VC powered wave of way-too-cheap online AI services and building tools and scaffolding to prepare for the eventual switch to local models =)