Comment by slashdev

It's not as easy to build a business as just copying someone (otherwise we'd have all been doing that long before LLMs).

I expect the software market will change from lots of big kitchen sink included systems and services to many smaller more specialized solutions with small agile teams behind them.

Some engineers that lose their jobs are going to create new businesses and new jobs.

The question in my mind: is there enough feature and software demand out there to keep all of the engineers employed at 3x the productivity? Maybe. Software has been limited on the supply side by how expensive it was to produce. Now it may bump into limits on the demand side instead.

Meanwhile LLMs are better than junior devs, so nobody wants to hire a junior dev. No idea how we get senior devs then. How many people will be scared away from entering this career path?

The job has changed. How many software engineers will leave the career now that the job is more of a technically minded product person and code reviewer?

I can't predict how it all plays out, but I'm along for the ride. Grieving the loss of programming and trying to get used to this new world.