Comment by gammarator

3 days ago

Did you read the article? The author considers these possibilities and offers their estimates of the odds of each. It’s fine if yours differ but you should justify them.

I’ve read all of these articles, they are entertaining!

> Evidence: This type of attack had not happened before. An early study from Tsinghua University showed that estimated 54% of moltbook activity came from humans masquerading as bots (though unclear if this reflects prompting the agent as in (2) or more manual action). My odds: 5%

I like the “the study I’m referencing says this happens more than half of the time, that is why I think that this is evidence that it almost never happens”

The author of the blog posts has said several times that there is a good chance none of this happened the way that he described. I’m just pointing out that he said that. Repeatedly