Comment by throwaway2037
14 hours ago
I think you could write a counterpoint article that takes the opposing view: Jevon's paradox. If we can create WhateverClaws with a billion token window, it will "feel" like something that approaches a mid-level computer programmer. Personally, I think this outcome is more likely than the "T2 Judgement Day" view from this blog post.
Jevons paradox applies more to token demand than demand for meatbags
I disagree. In my view, business types (think C-suite, sales, and product dev for any industry) have infinite amount of software they want built. My Jevon's paradox will allow them to build more software. I actually see an increase in the number of programmers once Claws goes mainstream.
> business types (think C-suite, sales, and product dev for any industry) have infinite amount of software they want built.
It may seem that way if you’re tasked with fulfilling such demands and are in the selling software business but it’s quite the opposite on end customers side ie buyer.
Software adds cost and complexity so absolutes minimum that still gets the job done is the aim. Software that enables some efficiency gain is good and worth the complexity of another system. But adding a second piece of something on same doesn’t have same favourable tradeoff. Nobody needs or wants two accounting systems. Or two ERPs. Or two slack clones.