Comment by vicchenai

1 day ago

$730B pre-money is remarkable context for an industry that barely existed commercially a decade ago. Worth noting the implied revenue multiple here - OpenAI reportedly hit $4B ARR in 2024, so this round prices them at ~180x forward revenue. For comparison, Salesforce peaked at ~12x. The bull case obviously requires AGI-level defensibility that makes traditional SaaS multiples irrelevant. The bear case is that frontier model costs continue compressing (DeepSeek effect) and commoditization erodes the moat before the network effects lock in. Either way, this is a defining data point for how markets price transformative but uncertain technology.